US National (Case-Shiller, 2000+) Historical Replay: 2004-11 to 2007-04
Replay 30 monthly bars of the US national Case-Shiller index from November 2004 to April 2007, watching the close climb 15.6% from 157.5 to 182.13. Step through six decision points, get an AI coach review, and learn how policy shaped the housing cycle in this simulated scenario.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2004-11 to 2007-04 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 1.3% with a 17.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −1.3%
- Max run-up
- +17.2%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.6%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US national Case-Shiller home price index offers a front-row seat to one of the most consequential periods in modern property history. Between November 2004 and April 2007, 30 monthly bars trace the final sustained ascent of the 2000s housing boom before the cycle turned. Six decision points—including two critical junctures—punctuate this replay, inviting participants to navigate policy shifts and market signals as they unfold.
The index climbed steadily from 157.5 to 182.13, delivering a 15.6% gain across the 30-month window. The market exhibited remarkable stability, with a maximum drawdown of just 1.3% and the largest single monthly move limited to 1.6%. These tight ranges masked the structural vulnerabilities that would soon emerge, offering a calm surface that rewards careful analysis over reactive trading.
For decision training, this replay sharpens the ability to distinguish between short-term noise and meaningful trend signals. The modest volatility and contained drawdown create a controlled environment to practice disciplined position management and risk calibration. By confronting six decision moments with varying stakes, learners develop the habit of checking conviction against evidence—a mindset that proves essential when the calm eventually breaks.