Canada National (BIS) Historical Replay: 2004-04 to 2011-07
Replay 30 monthly bars across 2004-04 to 2011-07, watching a Canadian national property index climb 55.2% before an 8.8% drawdown. Step through six decision points with simulated capital only, then receive an AI coach review of every choice you made.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2004-04 to 2011-07 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.8% with a 58.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.8%
- Max run-up
- +58.9%
- Largest single-month move
- +4.7%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Canadian national property market from April 2004 through July 2011 represented a compressed yet instructive window into real estate cycles. This 30-month replay traces a period bookended by the froth of mid-decade optimism and the reckoning of the 2007-08 global financial crisis. Six decision points, including two deemed critical, challenge participants to navigate shifting sentiment across both the 2000s and 2010s decades. What was at stake was not merely portfolio positioning but the fundamental discipline of maintaining process when external narratives collide with price reality.
The index climbed from 69.09 to 107.21, delivering a total return of 55.2% across the period. However, this trajectory was not linear. An 8.8% maximum drawdown tested conviction, while the largest single monthly move of 4.7% illustrated how quickly sentiment could reverse. The asymmetry between steady appreciation and sudden compression encapsulates the central tension every participant must confront.
This replay cultivates decision-making under ambiguity by imposing six judgment calls without the distortion of actual capital at risk. The critical moments, where trajectory inflection and risk recognition intersect, reveal how anchoring bias or recency bias can compromise disciplined execution. AI coach review of each choice transforms individual decisions into transferable principles, reinforcing that process consistency matters more than any single outcome in volatile markets.
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