Soybean Historical Replay: 2024-03 to 2024-06
Replay 66 trading days from March to June 2024 as soybean prices slipped from 1212 to 1163.25, a 4.0% slide marked by 12 decision points and a 7.4% drawdown. Step through each session, make calls, then review your reasoning with an AI coach in a simulated training environment.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2024-03 to 2024-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 96 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.4% and a 10.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.4%
- Max run-up
- +10.0%
- Duration
- 96 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.0%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the spring of 2024, the soybean market faced a period of uncertainty driven by Brazilian weather concerns. As a major global producer, Brazil's agricultural conditions directly influence supply expectations and price dynamics. This historical replay spans 66 trading days from March 21 to June 25, challenging participants to navigate a market where supply-side expectations were constantly being recalibrated amid evolving drought signals. The stakes extended beyond individual positions to broader questions about food commodity pricing and risk management.
The outcome tells a story of gradual erosion rather than sudden collapse. Soybean prices slipped from 1212 to 1163.25, a -4.0% decline that masked more turbulent underlying price action. The maximum drawdown reached 7.4%, while the largest single-bar move hit 3.0%. Across these 66 daily bars, participants encountered 12 decision points—4 deemed critical—forcing repeated choices about position sizing, trend assessment, and risk tolerance in a market that offered no clear directional conviction.
This replay hones the ability to manage positions through sustained, grinding moves rather than dramatic crashes. The key lessons center on process discipline: defining exit levels before entry, sizing positions relative to the known maximum adverse move, and maintaining psychological equilibrium when the market fails to deliver decisive trends. By confronting 7.4% drawdowns without clear catalysts, traders develop the emotional resilience necessary for sustained participation in volatile commodity markets. The 12 decision points serve as structured checkpoints for reviewing whether execution matched pre-trade plans.