Wheat Historical Replay: 2023-06 to 2023-09
Replay 62 daily bars across the 2023-06 to 2023-09 wheat window, where the close fell from 626.25 to 581. Make your calls at 11 decision points and let the AI coach review each one in this simulated, educational market-replay.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2023-06 to 2023-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 90 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 25.4% and a 22.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −25.4%
- Max run-up
- +22.4%
- Duration
- 90 days
- Largest single-day move
- +8.6%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay captures the wheat market during the summer of 2023, a period when grain traders navigated the intersection of Chinese economic recovery hopes and broader commodity volatility. The 62 daily bars spanning from June 8 to September 6, 2023 represent a window where fundamental uncertainty met sharp price action. For traders in training, this scenario tests the ability to hold conviction through noise while managing positions against meaningful adverse moves.
The period closed with wheat falling from 626.25 to 581, a decline of 7.2%. Yet the headline number obscures a more turbulent journey beneath the surface. The maximum drawdown reached 25.4%, and the largest single-bar move was 8.6%, revealing volatility that the net decline alone would never convey. Across the 11 decision points embedded in this replay, four were flagged as critical, demanding participants reassess their theses and risk parameters as conditions evolved.
This replay strips away the false comfort of hindsight. The 25.4% drawdown tests whether traders have pre-defined their pain thresholds and position sizes before the heat of the moment. The 8.6% single-bar shock reminds us that markets can move far beyond comfort zones, challenging stop-loss discipline. Process matters more than outcome here: did you have a rationale for entry, a rule for scaling, and a clear exit when evidence shifted? The psychological dimension is equally central—surviving a drawdown of this magnitude requires emotional regulation and the willingness to be wrong without abandoning a sound framework.