Skip to main content

Soybean Historical Replay: 2018-02 to 2018-08

CommoditiesGrainsUSPolicy2018-02 to 2018-08Difficulty 2/5FreeView charts

Replay the 2018 soybean slide across 128 daily bars as close fell 13.7% from 1001.75 to 864.5. You make decisions at 22 points, including 8 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.

128K lines
22Decision points
2Difficulty
DailyGranularity

128 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2018-02 to 2018-08 · Commodities

Key facts

This window spans 183 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.7% and a 11.0% run-up.

Max drawdown
−23.7%
Max run-up
+11.0%
Duration
183 days
Largest single-day move
−4.7%
Bars
128 Daily bars
Decision points
22

Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology

How to play
  1. The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.

  2. At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.

  3. After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.

Event Replay

What happened — and what it teaches

Soybean futures in the 2010s faced a turbulent period shaped by shifting trade policy and geopolitical uncertainty. This replay immerses you in the February to August 2018 window, a time when policy announcements could trigger sudden market shifts. Participants navigate a complex landscape where agricultural commodities were particularly vulnerable to external pressures, making every decision potentially consequential for portfolio performance.

The market's trajectory during this period reveals significant downward momentum. Over 128 daily bars, soybean prices declined 13.7% from 1001.75 to 864.5, with a maximum drawdown of 23.7% testing investor resilience. A particularly volatile session saw a 4.7% single-bar move, highlighting the unpredictable nature of policy-driven markets. Participants faced 22 decision points, with 8 marked as critical moments requiring careful strategic consideration.

This scenario demands robust risk management and psychological fortitude. Navigating a sustained downtrend requires disciplined position sizing and emotional composure. The experience emphasizes the importance of having predefined exit strategies and maintaining flexibility in response to unexpected market developments. Participants learn to balance analytical discipline with adaptive decision-making, skills that transfer across market environments and time periods.