Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2016-11 to 2017-05
Replay 124 daily bars of the 2016-11 to 2017-05 soybean meal boom, a 0.8% drift shadowed by a sharp 12.4% drawdown. Step through each session, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated educational market-replay.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2016-11 to 2017-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.4% and a 14.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.4%
- Max run-up
- +14.2%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.9%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The soybean meal replay transports traders into the grains complex during the 2010s, spanning 2016-11-15 to 2017-05-15. Across 124 daily bars, participants navigate a market that appeared deceptively calm but concealed significant turbulence. With 21 decision points—7 of them critical—traders must demonstrate composure and strategic thinking in an environment where agricultural commodities can pivot swiftly.
The period delivered a net gain of just 0.8% (310.1 to 312.5), masking a more volatile reality beneath the surface. The maximum drawdown of 12.4% reveals how sharply sentiment could shift against positions, while the largest single-bar move of 4.9% demonstrates that even brief sessions can deliver outsized swings. A participant who fixed solely on the end result would have missed the underlying stress test this scenario imposed.
This replay excels as a training ground for managing the gap between perception and reality in commodity markets. Traders learn to size positions with drawdown risk in mind, rather than chasing headline returns. The psychological dimension is equally demanding: surviving a 12.4% equity dip without abandoning a sound process separates disciplined practitioners from reactive ones. Each of the 21 decision points becomes a mirror reflecting how one responds when the market refuses to cooperate.