Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2016-11 to 2017-05
Replay 124 daily bars of rough rice from 2016-11-15 to 2017-05-15, watching close climb 13.2% from 9.39 to 10.63. Step through 21 decision points with simulated capital and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2016-11 to 2017-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.1% and a 16.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.1%
- Max run-up
- +16.4%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.2%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice, a key agricultural commodity in the Chinese market, enters a notable period from November 2016. The 2010s decade had already seen significant volatility in grain markets, and participants were navigating an environment where weather patterns, seasonal demand, and macroeconomic forces converged. This replay places you in the shoes of a trader managing positions across 124 daily bars, with the market testing both patience and conviction.
The close price climbed from 9.39 to 10.63 over the approximately six-month span, representing a 13.2% gain. However, the journey was far from smooth—the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 11.1%, and participants faced a largest single-bar move of 4.2% that could have tested risk management protocols. With 21 decision points including 7 critical junctures, every entry and exit carried weight in determining the final outcome.
This scenario sharpens skills that separate disciplined traders from reactive ones. A drawdown of 11.1% asks whether you will hold to your thesis or abandon it under pressure. The 4.2% single-bar spike reminds us that outliers are real and position sizing matters. Seven critical decision points mean the market offered multiple moments where judgment and process determined results. Use this replay to practice calibrating risk, staying objective, and letting a repeatable system guide decisions rather than emotion.