Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-05
Replay 122 trading days of the soybean meal boom from late 2015 to May 2016, when prices climbed 27.1% from 288.5 to 366.8. You navigate 21 decision points in simulated capital, learn from each bar, and receive AI coach feedback on your choices.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.8% and a 42.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −10.8%
- Max run-up
- +42.6%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.9%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2015, the US soybean meal futures market entered a period of renewed momentum, with participants facing the task of navigating a commodity boom unfolding across 122 trading days. The data span from November 17, 2015 to May 12, 2016 placed traders in a dynamic environment where agricultural commodities were subject to shifting supply-demand forces, weather uncertainties, and currency dynamics. For those replaying this era, the central question was how to position themselves responsibly in a market that was gathering upside steam.
The numbers tell a compelling story: prices climbed 27.1%, moving from 288.5 to 366.8, a substantial advance by any measure. Yet the path was far from smooth, with a maximum drawdown of 10.8% testing the resolve of anyone holding long positions. The largest single-bar move of 5.9% underscored the volatility that can accompany commodity trends, while 21 decision points, of which 7 were deemed critical, punctuated the journey. Each bar presented a moment where judgment could either compound gains or erode them.
This replay emphasizes three core lessons for decision training. First, process matters more than prediction: navigating a 27.1% advance requires disciplined entry and exit rules rather than simple buy-and-hold faith. Second, risk management is non-negotiable, as even a booming market can deliver 10.8% drawdowns that test conviction. Third, psychology is the silent arbiter; the 5.9% single-day swings demand emotional equilibrium to avoid panic selling at troughs or reckless adding at peaks. The soybean meal boom remains a classroom for mastering these fundamentals.
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