Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-05
Replay 122 daily bars of rough rice from Nov 2015 to May 2016, a span that saw a 20.5% max drawdown. You work through 21 decision points day-by-day and receive an AI coach review of each call, all on simulated capital for education.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.5% and a 19.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.5%
- Max run-up
- +19.7%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.4%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice, a cornerstone of global grain markets, faced a turbulent chapter from November 2015 to May 2016. Over 122 trading days, price action oscillated through a period marked by uncertainty in Chinese agricultural markets. Participants in this replay navigate a landscape where every decision carried weight, testing their ability to read evolving market dynamics without the benefit of hindsight.
The numbers tell a story of sustained pressure. Prices drifted from 12.06 to 11.6, a decline of 3.8%, yet the journey was far more volatile than the net change suggests. A maximum drawdown of 20.5% tested risk management disciplines, while a single session moved 5.4%, illustrating how quickly positions can be challenged. Across 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures, traders faced repeated tests of conviction and adaptability.
This replay sharpens decision-making under uncertainty, a core skill for any market participant. Navigating a 20.5% drawdown without panic requires disciplined position sizing and clear pre-commitment to exit criteria. The psychology of holding through large swings, or conversely, the temptation to exit at the worst moment, forms the central lesson. By replaying these 122 bars without real capital at risk, learners build the habits and mental frameworks that define resilient market engagement.
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