Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2011-07 to 2012-01
Rough rice slid 10.6% from 16.56 to 14.81 across 126 trading days as the 2011 European debt crisis roiled commodity markets. Replay each session, tackle 22 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2011-07 to 2012-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 24.9% and a 12.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −24.9%
- Max run-up
- +12.8%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.6%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2011, the European sovereign debt crisis escalated from a regional banking problem into a systemic global threat, crushing confidence across commodity markets. Rough rice, often viewed as a defensive agricultural contract, was not immune as investors fled risk assets and macroeconomic uncertainty dominated trading. This replay immerses you in 126 daily bars spanning from mid-July 2011 to mid-January 2012, placing you at the center of decisions made as markets digested cascading news from Athens to Brussels. The scenario offers 22 decision points, eight of which have been flagged as critical junctures where the directional path was most uncertain.
The contract's trajectory reveals the hidden turbulence beneath a seemingly modest headline decline. Rough rice slid 10.6% from 16.56 to 14.81 over the full span, yet that aggregate figure masks much wilder interim swings. Maximum drawdown reached 24.9%, meaning any unhedged long position would have faced paper losses approaching a quarter of its value at the worst point. The largest single-bar move of 3.6% shows how quickly sentiment could reverse intraday when macro headlines hit wires. These extremes matter for training: surviving the drawdown psychologically is as important as surviving it financially.
This scenario sharpens skills that generic bull markets never test. You must manage downside risk without abandoning process, hold through losses that feel catastrophic in real time, and recognize when fundamental change warrants cutting positions versus when panic is simply part of a crisis cycle. The 22 decision points force you to commit before outcomes are known, building the muscle memory that distinguishes prepared traders from reactive ones. Eight critical moments punctuate the replay, each demanding a clear thesis and disciplined execution under pressure. Study the macro interplay, understand your own risk tolerance, and let the AI coach review where conviction succeeded or faltered.