Wheat Historical Replay: 2011-07 to 2012-01
Replay 126 days of wheat trading from July 2011 to January 2012, capturing a 24.8% drawdown and 8.1% single-bar swings across the EU debt crisis. Make your own choices at 22 decision points and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated, educational scenario.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2011-07 to 2012-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 24.8% and a 16.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −24.8%
- Max run-up
- +16.1%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- +8.1%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2011, the global wheat market faced mounting pressure as the European sovereign debt crisis deepened and threatened to derail the fragile economic recovery. Over 126 trading days from July 19, 2011 to January 17, 2012, traders navigated one of the most volatile periods in recent grain history. Agricultural commodities were caught between weakening demand expectations and heightened uncertainty surrounding global growth, making risk management the defining challenge of the era.
The price trajectory told a stark story: wheat declined from a close of 693.5 to finish at 604.75, a loss of 12.8%. Yet the headline number masked far wilder swings beneath the surface. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 24.8%, and individual sessions could move as much as 8.1% in a single day. Across this turbulent span, participants confronted 22 decision points, of which 8 were deemed critical junctures where positioning choices carried amplified consequence.
This replay teaches that surviving extreme volatility demands disciplined process over impulse. Navigating a 24.8% drawdown while facing 8.1% single-bar moves requires pre-defined risk parameters and emotional regulation. The 8 critical decision points remind us that market inflection moments test not just analytical skill but psychological resilience: traders must maintain conviction without stubbornness and adapt without panic. For educational purposes, this episode illustrates how structured decision frameworks help traders respond to crisis conditions rather than react to them.