Soybean Historical Replay: 2012-06 to 2012-10
Replay 84 daily bars of the 2012 US soybean market across June to October with a 15.7% drawdown testing every decision. You step through each trading day, face 15 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback, simulated for education.
84 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2012-06 to 2012-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 119 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 15.7% and a 17.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −15.7%
- Max run-up
- +17.1%
- Duration
- 119 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.0%
- Bars
- 84 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2012, the US soybean market entered a period of intense uncertainty. From late June through October, traders faced a landscape where grain prices whipsawed violently amid shifting weather patterns, global supply concerns, and evolving demand signals. The stakes were considerable: position sizing, risk management, and timing all carried heightened consequences in a market prone to sudden reversals. This replay places you inside 84 daily bars of that environment, demanding decisions when conviction and discipline mattered most.
The period tested endurance as much as skill. Although prices ultimately closed the span at 1561.25, rising 3.2% from the 1512.75 opening, the journey was brutal. A 15.7% maximum drawdown meant portfolios could be deeply underwater even as the final outcome turned positive. The 4.0% largest single-bar move demonstrated how quickly sentiment could shift on a single report or weather update. Across these 84 days, you encountered 15 decision points—five of them critical junctures where the difference between holding, adjusting, or exiting shaped outcomes dramatically.
This scenario strips away hindsight to expose what decision training reveals: the gap between process and outcome. The modest 3.2% net gain masks the psychological toll of enduring a 15.7% drawdown, the temptation to abandon strategy at the worst moment, and the discipline required to act at five critical turning points without knowing the final result. The lesson is not about predicting the direction but about building the judgment and emotional resilience to navigate volatility when certainty is absent. Historical replays like this train that capacity through authentic pressure, not abstract theory.
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