Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2011-02 to 2011-08
Replay 126 daily bars of the soybean meal market from February to August 2011, watching the close slide from 366.6 to 352 amid an 11.0% drawdown. Step into 22 decision points across the historical timeline, make your own calls, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated training performance.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2011-02 to 2011-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.0% and a 9.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.0%
- Max run-up
- +9.5%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.3%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The soybean meal market in early 2011 presented traders with a challenging environment across China's grains complex. Between February and August, a six-month window of 126 daily bars unfolded, capturing a period of sustained pressure on agricultural commodities. With 22 decision points interspersed throughout the historical timeline—8 deemed critical—participants faced repeated tests of their ability to read momentum, manage exposure, and stay disciplined when the trend refused to cooperate.
What the data reveals is a market that ground lower despite the modest headline decline. The close slipped from 366.6 to 352, a -4.0% move that understates the true volatility experienced along the way. The maximum drawdown reached 11.0%, meaning anyone holding directional exposure would have watched unrealized losses swell well beyond the final settlement. The largest single-bar move of 4.3% underscores that sudden spikes could appear without warning, punishing those who failed to size positions appropriately or set clear risk parameters.
This replay distills lessons in process over prediction. The gap between the headline -4.0% loss and the 11.0% peak drawdown teaches that survival in trending markets requires respecting volatility, not just direction. With 8 critical junctures demanding choices under uncertainty, participants learn to distinguish between temporary dislocations and structural shifts—a skill that transfers far beyond soybean meal to any market where risk management determines longevity.