Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2004-05 to 2004-08
Replay 66 daily bars of a brutal soybean meal collapse from May to August 2004, shedding 38.0% as max drawdown reached 46.7%. You step through each authentic session, face 12 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2004-05 to 2004-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 95 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 46.7% and a 35.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −46.7%
- Max run-up
- +35.4%
- Duration
- 95 days
- Largest single-day move
- −10.8%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene recreates the Chinese soybean meal futures market during the summer of 2004, a period when global commodity markets were experiencing extraordinary volatility following the previous year's bull run. Over 66 daily trading sessions from May 6 to August 9, 2004, participants confront the full force of a sustained downtrend that would test any trader's conviction and risk management. This was not a momentary correction but a methodical unwinding that left many positions severely impaired.
The closing price collapsed from 321.8 to 199.5, representing a total decline of 38.0%. The maximum drawdown reached an alarming 46.7%, while the largest single session move totaled 10.8%. Throughout this 66-bar span, traders faced 12 decision points, with 4 designated as critical junctures where directional conviction was most severely tested. The sustained nature of this decline meant that each passing session compounded the psychological pressure on remaining positions.
This replay sharpens the ability to recognize when a trend has fundamentally shifted versus when it presents merely a trading opportunity. The brutal 46.7% max drawdown teaches the importance of position sizing and pre-defined exit levels before entering any trade. Psychological resilience is equally critical: maintaining discipline when positions turn against you separates effective practitioners from reactive ones. Every decision point becomes a mirror reflecting your risk tolerance and emotional control under pressure.
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