Coke Historical Replay: 2018-11 to 2019-05
Replay 116 daily bars of coke futures from Nov 2018 to May 2019, capturing a 9.4% decline and 20.6% max drawdown. Step through each session, face 20 decision points including 7 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated training environment.
116 daily bars · 20 decision points · 2018-11 to 2019-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.6% and a 15.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.6%
- Max run-up
- +15.5%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −17.3%
- Bars
- 116 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 20
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay captures 116 daily bars of coke futures from November 2018 to May 2019, a period when ferrous markets navigated significant uncertainty amid shifting monetary policy expectations. The Federal Reserve's pivot in early 2019 rippled through commodities, creating a demanding environment for traders. Participants engage with simulated capital across this volatile stretch, facing the psychological pressures of a market in structural decline.
The contract closed at 2140, down 9.4% from its opening level, with peak-to-trough losses reaching 20.6%. What stands out is the volatility: the largest single-bar move hit 17.3%, illustrating how quickly positions can turn catastrophic. The data covers an authentic market episode where directional conviction alone could not prevent substantial capital erosion.
This scenario offers 20 decision points, 7 of them critical, testing both analytical rigor and emotional discipline. Participants learn that process matters more than prediction—that managing a 20.6% drawdown requires pre-defined rules, not reactive improvisation. The educational value lies in experiencing how psychological anchoring and loss aversion distort judgment under pressure, providing lessons no textbook can replicate.
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