Coking Coal Historical Replay: 2018-07 to 2018-10
Replay the 2018-07 to 2018-10 coking coal window across 66 daily bars as emerging-market stress reshaped ferrous pricing. Step through 12 decision points, four of them critical, and receive an AI coach review of each call. Simulated capital, educational use only.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-07 to 2018-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 99 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.2% and a 21.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.2%
- Max run-up
- +21.8%
- Duration
- 99 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.4%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The 2018 emerging market selloff created a volatile backdrop for ferrous commodities as currencies from Turkey to Argentina weakened sharply, rattling confidence in global growth and raw material demand. Coking coal—a critical input for steelmaking—found itself caught between supply uncertainty and demand anxiety, making the mid-2018 window a stress test for commodity traders navigating crosscurrents. The period from July 9 through October 16 of that year encapsulated the tension between macro headwinds and commodity-specific dynamics.
Over the 66 daily bars of this replay, coking coal prices rose from 1158 to 1368, delivering an 18.1% gain. The journey was not linear: the market endured an 8.2% maximum drawdown and weathered a largest single-bar move of 5.4%, reflecting the emotional swings that accompanied each emerging market headline. Participants faced rapid shifts between risk-on and risk-off sentiment, forcing them to recalibrate positions as the macro picture evolved day by day.
This replay offers a structured environment to practice systematic decision-making under uncertainty. With 12 decision points—four flagged as critical—traders must confront the challenge of acting decisively when information is incomplete. The tension between the overall 18.1% uptrend and the interim 8.2% drawdown tests both conviction and risk management discipline. Simulated capital removes financial pressure, allowing learners to focus on process, emotional control, and the psychology of holding positions through volatility. Each call receives AI coach review, turning historical mistakes into actionable lessons for real-world markets.