Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2022-07 to 2023-01
Replay heating oil from July 2022 as prices slid 10.5% across 126 daily bars, capped by a 38.9% drawdown. Step through each day, face 22 decision points, and get AI coach review in a simulated training environment.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2022-07 to 2023-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 38.9% and a 45.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −38.9%
- Max run-up
- +45.4%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- −13.6%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2022, energy markets faced extraordinary uncertainty as inflation surged and geopolitical tensions reshaped global supply chains. Heating oil, a critical commodity for millions of households, became a focal point for traders navigating this volatile period. This replay captures the daily movements from July 19, 2022 through January 17, 2023—a 126-bar journey that tested every trader's conviction and discipline.
Across the full data span, heating oil prices declined from 3.63 to 3.25, representing a 10.5% loss. However, the headline figure obscures the turmoil beneath: the maximum drawdown reached 38.9%, while individual sessions saw moves as large as 13.6%. Participants faced 22 decision points—8 deemed critical—demanding continuous reassessment of positions and risk exposure.
This scenario strips away hindsight bias and forces learners to manage positions with incomplete information. The gap between the modest final decline and the severe interim drawdown underscores why disciplined risk management and emotional control separate successful execution from reactive panic. Navigating 22 decision points—8 critical moments—through a 38.9% drawdown is less about predicting direction and more about sustaining process when the market challenges every assumption.