WTI Crude Oil Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-04
Replay WTI crude oil's 40.7% drawdown across 100 daily bars from 2015-11-09 to 2016-04-04. Walk through 17 decision points, including 6 critical ones, with simulated capital and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
100 daily bars · 17 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-04 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 147 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 40.7% and a 58.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −40.7%
- Max run-up
- +58.1%
- Duration
- 147 days
- Largest single-day move
- +12.3%
- Bars
- 100 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 17
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario immerses you in the energy markets during a period defined by shifting monetary policy. Between November 9, 2015 and April 4, 2016, WTI crude oil traded across 100 daily bars in an environment shaped by the Federal Reserve's December 2015 rate decision and a strengthening US dollar. What was at stake was not merely a trade, but an understanding of how policy divergence moves commodity prices and tests conviction under sustained pressure.
The numbers tell the story of a market that punished complacency. WTI crude opened at 43.87 and closed at 35.7, a decline of 18.6%. Yet the headline figure understates the brutality: the maximum drawdown reached 40.7%, meaning any position entered without appropriate risk management would have been severely tested. The largest single-bar move of 12.3% demonstrates the kind of intraday volatility that can occur when macro conditions shift abruptly.
This replay offers 17 decision points, 6 of which are critical, forcing you to act under uncertainty rather than observe from safety. The teaching here is fundamentally about process: maintaining discipline when facing a 40.7% drawdown, sizing positions to survive maximum volatility, and recognizing the psychological traps that emerge when markets move against you. This is not about predicting the bottom but about building the habits that allow you to remain in the game when the market delivers its harshest lessons.
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