RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2015-06 to 2015-12
Replay 116 daily bars of RBOB gasoline from 2015-06-29 to 2015-12-10, capturing a 42.6% drawdown with a single-bar move of 14.6%. Navigate 20 decision points across a turbulent commodities, energy, and policy-driven period, then receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
116 daily bars · 20 decision points · 2015-06 to 2015-12 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 164 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 42.6% and a 21.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −42.6%
- Max run-up
- +21.5%
- Duration
- 164 days
- Largest single-day move
- −14.6%
- Bars
- 116 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 20
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay begins in the summer of 2015, when RBOB gasoline futures traders faced a complex interplay of supply dynamics, policy uncertainty, and slowing global growth. The period from June 29 to December 10 spans 116 daily bars across a market that had been riding high on seasonal demand expectations. By August, China's currency devaluation sent shockwaves through commodity markets, adding another layer of policy-driven risk to an already volatile energy sector.
What unfolded was a sustained price collapse of historic proportions for this contract. The close price plummeted from 2.03 to 1.28, representing a 36.9% loss over the period. The max drawdown reached an alarming 42.6%, with a largest single-bar move of 14.6%, underscoring the violent intraday volatility that defined this era. Participants navigating this scenario confronted 20 decision points, of which 7 were deemed critical to outcomes.
This replay teaches the value of disciplined risk management under compounding pressures. The sustained downtrend and sharp single-bar swings demand careful position sizing and strict loss limits. Decision training in such environments hones the ability to stay rational when markets move against you, avoiding the trap of doubling down on losing positions. The scenario's true educational merit lies not in predicting the next move, but in building the psychological resilience to accept uncertainty and protect capital when policy forces reshape entire commodity sectors.