RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2014-11 to 2015-05
Replay 122 days of the 2014-15 RBOB gasoline crash and confront a 38.3% drawdown through authentic market decisions. Walk through each daily bar, tackle 21 decision points with seven flagged as critical, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated performance.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2014-11 to 2015-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 38.3% and a 62.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −38.3%
- Max run-up
- +62.2%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +8.5%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The RBOB gasoline market entered a severe structural shift during the final months of 2014, as crude oil supplies swelled globally and demand growth stalled. From November 2014 through May 2015, participants faced a sustained downtrend that would test every dimension of trading discipline. The scenario spans 122 daily bars of authentic historical data, offering traders the chance to navigate one of the decade's sharpest energy sector declines.
The headline return from 2.03 to 2.04 per gallon—barely a 0.5% net gain—belies the violence of the journey. A 38.3% maximum drawdown reveals the brutal intraperiod losses that anyone holding directional exposure would have endured. The largest single-bar move of 8.5% demonstrates how quickly support levels can evaporate in a panic-driven market. Across the five-month span, traders confronted 21 decision points, with seven flagged as critical moments where positioning and risk management made the difference between survival and catastrophic loss.
This replay strips away the comfort of hindsight to expose the psychological toll of trending volatility. The lesson is not about predicting direction but about building processes that accommodate drawdowns without breaking. Participants learn to size positions for a 38.3% adverse move, to recognize when market structure shifts, and to manage the cognitive bias that makes holding through large losses feel impossible and exiting feel urgent. The 2014-15 gasoline crash remains a masterclass in why disciplined risk frameworks matter more than directional conviction.