Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2014-11 to 2015-05
Front-month natural gas collapsed 32.5% from 4.34 to 2.93 over the 2014-11 to 2015-05 oil rout. Replay 122 daily bars, navigate 7 critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review as you learn from a historic energy crash in simulated capital.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2014-11 to 2015-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 44.5% and a 17.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −44.5%
- Max run-up
- +17.7%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +9.9%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay unfolds across 122 daily bars from November 2014 to May 2015, a period when global energy markets faced severe dislocation. Natural gas, a cornerstone of US energy infrastructure, found itself caught in the undertow of collapsing crude prices and oversupply concerns. For traders and energy analysts, this era tested every assumption about commodity valuations and forced difficult choices about position management under duress.
Front-month natural gas ultimately fell 32.5%, dropping from 4.34 to 2.93 during the simulation window. The journey was anything but linear: a maximum drawdown of 44.5% tested portfolio stamina, while the largest single session moved 9.9%, creating moments of acute stress. Navigating 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures, participants had to repeatedly reassess exposure, timing, and risk tolerance as the market carved its way lower.
This replay distills lessons in process discipline and psychological resilience. Managing through a 44.5% drawdown requires clear rules and emotional steadiness rather than reactive moves. The 9.9% single-bar swings underscore that volatility itself becomes a risk factor, demanding position sizing guardrails. For learners, the value lies not in predicting the next crash but in building the habits—systematic review, defined thresholds, controlled exposure—that allow one to survive and learn from it.