USD/TND Historical Replay: 2023-11 to 2024-05
Replay 132 daily bars from November 2023 to May 2024 as USD/TND navigated war-driven oil shocks, including a 1.8% single-day spike. You step through each session, face 23 decision points with 8 critical, and receive AI coach review on simulated capital only.
132 daily bars · 23 decision points · 2023-11 to 2024-05 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 2.9% and a 3.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −2.9%
- Max run-up
- +3.3%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- +1.8%
- Bars
- 132 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 23
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The USD/TND pair occupies a peculiar corner of the emerging market FX landscape, where a managed exchange rate meets genuine external shocks. The replay window—November 2023 to May 2024—places traders directly inside one of the most consequential geopolitical disruptions to hit commodity markets since the pandemic. Red Sea shipping tensions had reignited, rerouting global energy logistics and threatening the oil import bills of import-dependent economies. For Tunisia, a country where energy costs filter directly into domestic inflation and fiscal balances, this was not abstract geopolitics—it was a lived macroeconomic event that policymakers and currency traders had to navigate in real time.
Over 132 daily bars, the pair delivered a modest net decline of -0.9%, closing at 3.1225 from an opening of 3.152. Yet that headline number conceals the texture of the period: a maximum drawdown of 2.9% tested positions that appeared comfortable, and a 1.8% single-bar spike—a sudden repricing event—demanded instant judgment from anyone holding exposure. The market was not directionless; it was volatile within a narrow band, punishing traders who mistook range compression for stability. Eight critical decision points punctuated the replay, each forcing a choice between holding through uncertainty, adjusting exposure, or stepping aside.
This replay teaches the difference between position sizing for a quiet market and position sizing for a market where geopolitical tail risk is elevated but uncertain in timing. The lesson is not that the USD/TND moved dramatically in aggregate—it did not—but that survivable drawdowns and single-day spikes test the psychological durability of a trading plan. Completing all 23 decision points across 132 bars, with AI coach review, builds the habit of articulating why you held, adjusted, or exited at each juncture. The historical record shows a -0.9% outcome; the decision training reveals how nearly anyone could have arrived at a very different result depending on their process under pressure.