Seattle Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2024-04
Replay Seattle's housing market from November 2021 to April 2024, a 30-month window capped by a 10.6% close-to-close swing and a 16.2% drawdown. Step through six monthly decision points in this simulated scenario and receive AI coach feedback on every choice you make.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2021-11 to 2024-04 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.2% with a 17.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.2%
- Max run-up
- +17.3%
- Largest single-month move
- +5.6%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay takes you inside the Seattle housing market from November 2021 to April 2024, a 30-month stretch when the city was still absorbing the pandemic surge while the Federal Reserve launched its most aggressive rate-hiking cycle in the 2020s. With six monthly decision points—two marked as critical—you step into the shoes of an investor navigating an environment where monetary policy was rapidly tightening and housing affordability was being squeezed. The scenario captures a market at a crossroads between post-COVID demand and the new reality of sharply higher borrowing costs.
The numbers tell a story of compressed volatility and a late recovery. From a starting point of 352.88, the market eventually closed at 390.37, delivering a 10.6% gain on a close-to-close basis. Yet the journey was far from linear. A maximum drawdown of 16.2% tested any portfolio holding steady, while the largest single monthly swing reached 5.6%, moments when panic and opportunity could have easily swapped places. The final tally masks an interior arc of decline, consolidation, and gradual repair.
For decision training, this replay sharpens three core skills. First, it forces disciplined position sizing: a 16.2% drawdown can be survivable or catastrophic depending on allocation. Second, it highlights the danger of anchoring to peak valuations when macro conditions shift. Third, the presence of two critical decision points reminds us that most of the alpha or damage concentrates in a handful of choices rather than the aggregate of small ones. The psychological dimension—staying rational during a 5.6% monthly drop while fundamentals are unclear—is arguably the hardest lesson this window offers.
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