Minneapolis Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2024-04
Replay Minneapolis property prices across 30 months, watching a 9.5% climb give way to a 5.5% drawdown. Walk through 6 decision points, including 2 critical forks, and receive an AI coach review of every simulated choice.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2021-11 to 2024-04 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.5% with a 9.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.5%
- Max run-up
- +9.5%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.2%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay places participants in Minneapolis residential property values spanning November 2021 through April 2024, a 30-month window capturing the transition from post-pandemic price acceleration into the Federal Reserve's aggressive tightening cycle. With mortgage rates surging and affordability squeezed, the market faced a fundamental test of whether pandemic-era gains could hold. Six decision points are embedded throughout, two marked as critical forks where positioning choices carried outsized consequence for portfolio outcomes.
The data reveals a net gain of 9.5% over the period, with prices moving from 217.82 to 238.51. Yet the trajectory proved far rockier than the headline number suggests. A maximum drawdown of 5.5% tested sentiment, while the largest single monthly move of 2.2% demonstrated how quickly conditions could shift. This gap between modest overall appreciation and significant interim volatility captures the essence of a market caught between structural support and cyclical pressure.
For decision trainees, this scenario excels at exposing behavioral pitfalls. The 5.5% pullback rewards those who distinguish temporary weakness from structural damage, while the 2.2% monthly swings test emotional discipline. The six decision points, especially the two critical junctures, force explicit choices about risk tolerance and conviction. Completing this replay builds comfort with imperfect information and the psychological resilience needed when markets refuse to move in straight lines.
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