Seattle Historical Replay: 2021-02 to 2023-07
Replay 30 monthly bars from 2021-02 to 2023-07 as Seattle's housing market swung from a 24.5% climb to a 16.2% drawdown. Step through each day, navigate six decision points including two critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback on your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2021-02 to 2023-07 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.2% with a 37.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.2%
- Max run-up
- +37.5%
- Largest single-month move
- +5.6%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene opens on Seattle's residential property market in February 2021, at the tail end of an extraordinary pandemic-era surge. Over the following 30 months, participants will navigate a period that would test even seasoned investors, as the market oscillated between post-pandemic exuberance and the early tremors of rising interest rates. The stakes were clear: understanding how to position portfolios when central banks pivot, and how to manage positions when beloved assets face prolonged headwinds.
What unfolded was a classic market cycle compressed into a short timeframe. Prices climbed from 301.13 to 374.82, delivering a net gain of 24.5% over the period, yet this headline number masked significant turbulence beneath the surface. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 16.2%, with individual monthly swings reaching as large as 5.6%. This combination of net gains punctuated by sharp reversals created a demanding environment where simply holding on required nerves of steel and a disciplined approach to position management.
For decision training, this scenario excels at exposing the psychological traps that catch even experienced market participants. Six decision points—two of them critical inflection moments—force learners to confront the challenge of staying rational when headlines scream euphoria or panic. The lesson is clear: surviving volatile markets requires not just technical analysis, but a robust process for managing risk and the emotional discipline to stick to it when conditions become uncomfortable.
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