US 10-City Composite Historical Replay: 2020-03 to 2022-08
Replay the US 10-city property market across 30 monthly bars from 2020-03 to 2022-08, capturing a 36.4% climb with just a 1.6% drawdown. You step through each historical decision point, make your own calls, then receive an AI coach review of your reasoning in a fully simulated educational environment.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2020-03 to 2022-08 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 1.6% with a 38.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −1.6%
- Max run-up
- +38.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US 10-city composite property market entered an extraordinary chapter from March 2020 through August 2022, a 30-month span that captured the full arc of a post-pandemic boom. This period presented a fundamental test of how investors process unprecedented economic disruption, shifting monetary policy, and evolving demand dynamics across major metropolitan real estate markets. The stakes were clear: navigate a market transformed by low interest rates and supply constraints while developing disciplined decision-making habits under uncertainty.
The numbers reveal a remarkably smooth ascent. The index climbed from 235.12 to 320.71, delivering a 36.4% return over 30 monthly bars. What stands out is the exceptionally low volatility accompanying this gains—maximum drawdown measured just 1.6%, while the largest single monthly move never exceeded 2.1%. This was not a volatile spike but a sustained, grinding advance with six decision points, including two critical junctures where market conditions demanded deliberate evaluation of positions.
For decision training, this replay exposes several vital lessons. First, low-volatility environments can breed complacency—small daily moves may mask accumulating risk. Second, a 36.4% gain realized over 30 bars rewards patience and systematic position management over reactive trading. Third, the two critical decision points remind us that even gentle trends require active evaluation: Are fundamentals changing? Has the risk-reward shifted? The psychology of holding through steady appreciation, resisting the urge to book profits prematurely, proves as challenging as managing dramatic volatility. This scenario trains the discipline to distinguish between productive patience and dangerous inertia.