Seattle Historical Replay: 2011-03 to 2013-08
Seattle home prices climbed 20.6% between March 2011 and August 2013, a slow recovery told across 30 monthly bars. Replay each month, face six decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated, educational walk through a real estate rebound.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2011-03 to 2013-08 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 6.2% with a 24.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −6.2%
- Max run-up
- +24.3%
- Largest single-month move
- +3.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Seattle's housing market entered the spring of 2011 still grappling with the fallout from the financial crisis. After years of decline, buyers and investors faced a critical question: had prices finally found a floor, or was there further to fall? This 30-month replay covers March 2011 through August 2013, a period when the city began its slow climb back from the bottom of the 2010s decade.
The data reveals a gradual but meaningful recovery, with close prices rising from 132.97 to 160.36—a solid 20.6% increase across the 30 monthly bars. Yet the ascent was not smooth. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 6.2%, reminding participants that even in recovering markets, short-term setbacks are inevitable. The largest single-bar move of 3.1% shows the kind of volatility spikes that can test conviction and discipline.
For decision trainees, this scenario presents a nuanced challenge in a slowly recovering market. Six decision points, two of them critical, require participants to navigate entry, scaling, and exit under uncertainty. The key lessons concern risk calibration—how much exposure feels appropriate when a drawdown of 6.2% remains possible—and psychological discipline, which is needed to hold positions through choppy periods rather than exiting prematurely. It is a valuable sandbox for learning how to balance patience with prudent position management in a market finding its footing.
Featured in the archive