Copper Historical Replay: 2018-02 to 2018-08
Replay copper's 2018 slide as copper fell 13.0% from 3.08 to 2.68 across 128 trading days. Walk through 22 decision points day by day and receive AI coach review on your simulated calls.
128 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2018-02 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 183 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.5% and a 11.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.5%
- Max run-up
- +11.1%
- Duration
- 183 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.5%
- Bars
- 128 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Copper dominated base-metals headlines through the first half of 2018 as the metal navigated a challenging macro environment shaped by U.S. dollar strength and shifting trade dynamics. The period from February to August placed copper under sustained pressure, testing the resolve of anyone managing exposure to industrial metals. Participants faced the classic dilemma of distinguishing fundamental value from momentum-driven capitulation.
The data reveals a steady erosion: copper retreated 13.0% from an opening level of 3.08 to close at 2.68 over 128 trading days. The journey proved more turbulent than the net figure suggests, with a maximum drawdown of 18.5% and occasional sharp intraday swings reaching 3.5% in a single session. Across this span, 22 decision points punctuated the slide, eight of which the replay flags as critical junctures where positioning choices carried heightened consequence. Each bar represented a moment where conviction, risk management, or the lack of both would have been tested.
This replay hones the ability to maintain discipline when a thesis unwinds gradually rather than collapsing in a single event. The extended timeframe tests patience and position sizing; the intermittent spikes demand emotional control and pre-defined exit logic. Studying how the 18.5% drawdown unfolded across multiple decision points teaches that survival through volatility requires process over prediction. The goal is not to avoid losses but to ensure each decision is defensible when reviewed retrospectively.