Russell 2000 Uptrend Replay (2016-06-27 to 2016-09-22)
Replay the Russell 2000 from May to November 2016 across 124 daily bars, capturing an 8.4% drawdown within a 3.8% net advance. You step through each session, face 11 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
124 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2016-05 to 2016-11 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 176 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.4% and a 15.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.4%
- Max run-up
- +15.9%
- Duration
- 176 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.8%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the spring and summer of 2016, the Russell 2000 presented traders with a classic small-cap challenge: navigating an index that had spent months grinding sideways as investors weighed domestic economic signals against global uncertainties. This replay spans 124 daily bars from May 11 to November 3, 2016, placing participants directly inside a market environment where conviction was fragile and the margin for error was thin.
The index closed the period at 1156.89, up 3.8% from its starting point of 1114.74. Yet that modest net gain masks a turbulent journey. Traders who entered this span faced a maximum drawdown of 8.4% and encountered single-bar moves as large as 3.8%, creating multiple moments where positions were tested and outcomes hung on timing. The combination of modest upside and significant intermediate losses defined the psychological terrain of those months.
The scenario tests participants through 11 decision points, 4 of which the framework identifies as critical junctures. Surviving this replay requires more than directional conviction; it demands a disciplined process for sizing positions, managing risk during extended drawdowns, and maintaining psychological equilibrium when the largest moves work against you. The lesson is not that this market was untradeable, but that profitable outcomes depend on surviving the volatility that precedes them.