Russell 2000 Uptrend Replay (2018-02-08 to 2018-03-12)
Replay the 2018 Russell 2000 rally-and-reversal spanning 44 daily bars from Jan 23 to Mar 26, where the index still finished down 4.2%. You will walk through 8 decision points, including 3 critical ones, receiving an AI coach review of each simulated historical choice.
44 daily bars · 8 decision points · 2018-01 to 2018-03 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 62 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 9.1% and a 9.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −9.1%
- Max run-up
- +9.4%
- Duration
- 62 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.6%
- Bars
- 44 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 8
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Russell 2000 in early 2018 presented traders with a textbook case of a rally-and-reversal environment. As the era of loose monetary policy was giving way to tighter financial conditions, the small-cap benchmark faced structural headwinds despite occasional strength. This replay spans 44 daily bars from January 23 to March 26, placing participants in the shoes of traders navigating a market that appeared poised for recovery but ultimately closed lower. The stakes were clear: how do you participate in apparent strength without being caught when the trend reverses?
The index fell from 1610.71 to 1543.72, a decline of 4.2%. The period featured a maximum drawdown of 9.1% and the largest single-bar move was 3.6%. Eight decision points were embedded throughout, with three marked as critical, testing traders' ability to read momentum shifts and manage risk in real-time. The gap between peak optimism and final settlement underscores how quickly favorable conditions can dissolve in a trend-rejection environment.
This replay sharpens decision-making by confronting participants with the psychological difficulty of managing positions in a market that whipsaws. The 9.1% drawdown illustrates why position sizing and pre-defined risk limits matter more than directional conviction. Participants learn that even when a rally appears underway, broader structural forces can overwhelm technical strength. The takeaway is process over outcome: disciplined entries, systematic exits, and emotional equilibrium when reality diverges from expectation.