US National (Case-Shiller, 2000+) Historical Replay: 2018-03 to 2020-08
Replay 30 monthly Case-Shiller bars from March 2018 to August 2020, capturing a 12.8% climb with a tiny 0.6% drawdown. Step into decision points across the policy-driven era, learn from an AI coach review, and practice with simulated capital only.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2018-03 to 2020-08 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.6% with a 12.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.6%
- Max run-up
- +12.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
From March 2018 to August 2020, the US national Case-Shiller index traced a policy-driven chapter spanning the late 2010s into the early 2020s. This 30-month window captured the tail end of the Federal Reserve's rate-hike cycle and the initial pandemic shock, placing housing market resilience squarely in focus. For trainees, the stakes were clear: learn to read macro policy signals and their transmission into residential real estate valuations.
Over these 30 monthly bars, the index climbed from 198.54 to 224—a 12.8% appreciation that unfolded with striking calm. The maximum drawdown measured just 0.6%, and the largest single-month move reached only 1.1%. These numbers reveal a market that rewarded patience rather than agility, with volatility compressed to historical lows even as significant economic events unfolded.
The scenario embeds six decision points, two marked as critical, inviting trainees to practice entry, sizing, and conviction under uncertainty. The tight drawdown and modest swings test risk discipline: with few sharp reversals, the temptation to overtrade collides with the discipline of respecting defined thresholds. Psychology matters here—maintaining process fidelity when the market offers no urgency, only the slow grind of compounding returns.
Featured in the archive