Soybean Historical Replay: 2009-02 to 2009-05
Replay 70 daily bars of the 2009 soybean rally from 994 to 1169, a 17.6% climb marked by a 14.6% drawdown and a 5.5% single-day swing. Walk through 13 decision points across this historical window, including 5 critical turns, while an AI coach reviews each simulated choice for educational insight.
70 daily bars · 13 decision points · 2009-02 to 2009-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 99 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.6% and a 37.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.6%
- Max run-up
- +37.8%
- Duration
- 99 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.5%
- Bars
- 70 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 13
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2009, commodity markets were finding their footing after the previous year's financial upheaval. The soybean market offered a particularly instructive window into how agricultural commodities behaved during a recovery phase. This replay covers 70 daily bars of authentic price action from February 10 to May 20, placing participants directly into the decisions that defined this period.
The 2009 soybean rally saw prices climb from 994 to 1169, delivering a 17.6% return. Yet the journey proved taxing: a 14.6% maximum drawdown tested trader conviction, and a 5.5% single-bar move reminded participants that volatility persists even in trending markets. Across these 70 trading days, participants navigated 13 decision points, with 5 representing critical turns where directional calls and risk management choices carried heightened consequence.
For decision training, this scenario exposes the psychological weight of holding through drawdowns and the discipline required to maintain process when positions move against you. The sharp single-bar swings highlight the importance of position sizing and emotional regulation. Educational replay emphasizes learning over outcome—participants benefit most by observing their own reactions to risk, managing their biases, and refining their process rather than chasing the result itself.
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