USD/TRY Historical Replay: 2018-09 to 2018-12
Replay the 2018 USD/TRY crash as 66 daily bars from September 6 to December 7, capturing a steep 18.9% decline and a 21.5% drawdown. Step through each session, face 12 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices in this educational scenario.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-09 to 2018-12 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 92 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 21.5% and a 4.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −21.5%
- Max run-up
- +4.4%
- Duration
- 92 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.5%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay recreates the USD/TRY cross in the autumn of 2018, when the Turkish lira suffered one of its most violent selloffs against the dollar in recent memory. As a highly volatile emerging-market pair, USD/TRY attracted traders seeking rapid moves but demanded disciplined risk control. The 66-day window from September 6 to December 7 placed participants squarely inside a geopolitical and monetary crisis that rattled global sentiment.
What unfolded was a sustained downward lurch: the dollar fell from 6.5837 to 5.338 against the lira, translating into an 18.9% depreciation over the period. The journey was anything but linear—a 21.5% drawdown tested even patient positions, while a single session spike of 3.5% showed how quickly sentiment could reverse. Participants navigated 12 decision points, four of them critical junctures where directional conviction was essential.
The scenario exposes the core tensions in emerging-market trading: the pull of directional opportunity against the reality of volatile, sentiment-driven swings that can erode positions quickly. Managing through a 21.5% drawdown and intraday spikes of 3.5% requires robust risk protocols—position sizing, stop discipline, and emotional control. The 12 decision points, including 4 critical moments, reveal how conviction must be balanced with flexibility. Success here is not about predicting the crisis but about building a process that survives it.
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