Health Care Sel SPDR Uptrend Replay (2022-09-30 to 2022-12-14)
Replay the XLV Health Care Select SPDR uptrend across 106 daily bars from 2022-08-23 with a 7.8% max drawdown and 3.3% largest single-bar move. You step through each session, tackle 11 decision points, and receive an AI coach review on simulated capital only.
106 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2022-08 to 2023-01 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 154 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.8% and a 15.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.8%
- Max run-up
- +15.7%
- Duration
- 154 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.3%
- Bars
- 106 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Health Care Select SPDR (XLV) provides a focused lens on sector rotation dynamics during a turbulent period in US equity markets. From late August 2022 through January 2023, this ETF navigated an environment shaped by shifting Fed expectations, inflation debates, and evolving healthcare policy signals. The 106-day replay places participants in the shoes of an investor managing a position through 11 decision points—4 deemed critical—where directional conviction, risk tolerance, and process discipline were all tested. The era was the 2020s, a decade already marked by extraordinary volatility, making this a relevant training ground for systematic decision-making under uncertainty.
The headline number—3.2% gain from $129.35 to $133.48—obscures a far messier journey. Participants faced a maximum drawdown of 7.8%, meaning the position slipped meaningfully before recovering. The largest single-bar move of 3.3% signals days where sentiment could swing sharply, testing stops and conviction alike. This is not a clean, steady climb; it is a realistic simulation of a modest uptrend punctuated by reversals that would challenge even experienced practitioners. The ratio between total return and peak retracement reveals why timing and risk management matter more than direction.
For decision training, this replay isolates three core tensions: the discipline to hold through drawdown versus the wisdom to reduce exposure; the process to act at decision points without acting impulsively; and the psychology to accept a narrow net gain despite significant intermediate noise. The 7.8% drawdown is the scenario's real teacher—it forces participants to confront what their risk tolerance actually is, not what they assume it to be, before the outcome is known.