Cocoa Historical Replay: 2010-11 to 2011-02
Replay 58 daily bars of the 2010-11 to 2011-02 cocoa session, where prices climbed 28.7% and a 4.9% single-day spike tested every chart-watcher. Walk through each decision point day-by-day, weigh policy headlines and volatility, and let the AI coach review your simulated choices.
58 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2010-11 to 2011-02 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 84 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.8% and a 30.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.8%
- Max run-up
- +30.3%
- Duration
- 84 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.9%
- Bars
- 58 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This scenario replays 58 daily bars of cocoa trading from late November 2010 to mid-February 2011. The 2010s decade was in full swing, and commodities markets were adjusting to post-crisis monetary policy. Participants faced a market where policy uncertainty and supply dynamics created sudden volatility windows. The stakes were clear: navigate a trending market without being shaken out by the inevitable pullbacks.
Cocoa prices climbed from 2756 to 3546, a substantial 28.7% gain over the period. The journey was not smooth—a 7.8% maximum drawdown tested conviction, and a single session produced a 4.9% spike that could have triggered panic among unprepared traders. The market presented 11 decision points across the replay, with 4 critical moments demanding disciplined position management. This was not a straight-line rally but a series of volatility tests that separated process-driven traders from reactive ones.
The cocoa replay teaches that conviction and flexibility must coexist. When a 4.9% single-bar move occurs, it challenges the psychological resolve of even experienced participants. Max drawdown figures remind us that trend-following carries interim pain, and only a robust process can keep decision-makers from abandoning sound strategies midstream. For training purposes, the scenario is a laboratory for practicing emotional regulation, sizing discipline, and objective reassessment under pressure. Those who emerge with their methodology intact have learned what repeatable edge truly requires.