Cotton Historical Replay: 2010-07 to 2010-10
Replay the August 2010 Russian wheat ban that sent cotton soaring 25.4% across 64 daily bars from July to October. Walk through each session, face 4 critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated trades.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2010-07 to 2010-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 90 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.7% and a 40.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.7%
- Max run-up
- +40.2%
- Duration
- 90 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.6%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene is cotton trading during the summer and autumn of 2010, a period when policy-driven market contagion was reshaping commodity dynamics. In August 2010, a Russian wheat export ban sent shockwaves through agricultural markets, creating a volatile window that tested traders across related soft commodities. For anyone studying how regulatory actions in one sector can cascade across connected markets, this 64-bar stretch offers a focused historical case study.
Over the 64 daily bars from 2010-07-08 to 2010-10-06, cotton prices climbed from 81.85 to 102.66, a total return of 25.4%. The journey was anything but smooth: the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 7.7%, and the largest single-bar move reached 4.6%. Traders navigating this period faced 11 decision points, of which 4 were critical inflection moments demanding clear judgment under uncertainty.
This replay sharpens three core competencies for decision training. First, process discipline: navigating a 25.4% trending move while respecting a 7.7% max drawdown teaches position management and conviction calibration. Second, risk awareness: a 4.6% single-bar spike reminds us that policy news can strike fast, demanding pre-defined risk controls. Third, psychological resilience: facing 4 critical decision points across volatile sessions trains the discipline to act on analysis rather than react to noise, a skill set that transfers far beyond cotton to any market environment.