Cocoa Historical Replay: 2009-02 to 2009-05
Cocoa plunged from 2718 to 2361 between February and May 2009, an 18.5% drawdown with 8.8% daily swings. Replay each of the 70 days, face 13 decision points including 5 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated trades.
70 daily bars · 13 decision points · 2009-02 to 2009-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 99 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.5% and a 24.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.5%
- Max run-up
- +24.3%
- Duration
- 99 days
- Largest single-day move
- −8.8%
- Bars
- 70 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 13
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The 2009 cocoa market offered traders a sharp reversal in the soft commodities space during the first quarter of that year. As the global financial crisis deepened, demand expectations shifted dramatically, creating a high-volatility environment where soft commodities like cocoa faced sustained pressure. The data spans 70 daily bars from February to May 2009, placing participants squarely in a period when market direction was far from certain.
Cocoa prices descended from 2718 to 2361 between February and May 2009, a decline of 13.1%. The journey featured an 18.5% maximum drawdown, testing even disciplined approaches. Daily swings of up to 8.8% meant that single sessions could overwhelm position sizing assumptions. Across the 70-day replay, participants encountered 13 decision points, with 5 critical junctures demanding deliberate choices rather than reactive trades.
This scenario excels as a training ground for managing drawdowns without panic. The combination of a 13.1% net loss and 18.5% peak-to-trough exposure forces traders to confront the gap between theoretical risk limits and real psychological pressure. Working through the 13 decision points, learners practice sizing positions, setting stop disciplines, and maintaining composure during 8.8% single-bar moves. The 5 critical moments serve as focal points for reviewing whether process held when outcomes turned adverse.
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