Palladium Historical Replay: 2001-11 to 2002-05
Replay 120 days of palladium from late 2001 through 2002, watching the metal climb 11.9% from 315 to 352.5. Walk through daily decisions across 21 points, including 7 critical moments, with simulated capital and AI coach review.
120 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2001-11 to 2002-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 22.6% and a 42.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −22.6%
- Max run-up
- +42.7%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −7.0%
- Bars
- 120 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2001, palladium entered a period shaped by inflation concerns and a weakening US dollar. This replay spans 120 daily bars from November 13, 2001 to May 9, 2002, capturing a volatile stretch in the precious metals markets of the 2000s. Participants face the challenge of navigating a commodity known for sharp swings while managing exposure across 21 decision points, including 7 critical moments that demand careful judgment.
The metal climbed 11.9% over the period, moving from 315 to 352.5. Yet this headline figure obscures the turbulence beneath the surface. The maximum drawdown reached 22.6%, meaning participants who entered at the wrong moment endured significant simulated losses. The largest single-bar move hit 7.0%, illustrating how quickly conditions could shift on any given trading day. Navigating these extremes required both discipline and situational awareness.
This scenario tests three core competencies. First, process: participants must follow a consistent method rather than react impulsively to price swings. Second, risk: enduring a 22.6% drawdown while staying within position limits reveals whether sizing and stop-loss practices hold under pressure. Third, psychology: recognizing that a 7.0% single-bar move is possible without abandoning a reasoned thesis separates disciplined traders from emotional ones. The simulated capital environment allows learners to build these habits without financial consequences, while AI coach review highlights where decision-making improved or faltered across the 7 critical points.
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