US National (Case-Shiller, 2000+) Historical Replay: 2012-03 to 2014-08
Replay the U.S. Case-Shiller national index from March 2012 through August 2014, capturing a steady climb from 135.85 to 167.44 across 30 monthly bars. Make decisions at 6 key points, get an AI coach review, and learn how housing momentum actually unfolded on a simulated educational platform.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2012-03 to 2014-08 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.6% with a 23.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.6%
- Max run-up
- +23.3%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.0%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay captures the U.S. Case-Shiller national home price index from March 2012 to August 2014, spanning 30 monthly bars across the 2010s. After the housing crash, prices were recovering from distressed levels. Participants face 6 decision points, 2 critical, as the market enters a new phase of sustained growth. Understanding how momentum builds after a major downturn is essential for anyone studying real asset cycles.
The index climbed steadily from 135.85 to 167.44, delivering a 23.3% return over the period. The trajectory was remarkably smooth, with a maximum drawdown of only 0.6% and the largest single monthly move reaching just 2.0%. This was not a dramatic reversal but rather a grinding, patient recovery that rewarded consistency over timing.
For decision training, this scenario tests whether participants can recognize early-stage recoveries and resist the urge to exit at the first sign of volatility. The tiny drawdown and limited monthly swings make it deceptively calm, yet six decision points across 30 bars create cumulative pressure. The core lesson is that post-crash recoveries often reward long holding periods and discipline over tactical moves. Students learn to separate calm surface conditions from the underlying conviction required to stay invested through an entire cycle.