Bulgaria National (BIS) Historical Replay: 2010-10 to 2018-01
Replay Bulgaria's 2014 recovery boom across a 30-month window where the index climbed from 96.93 to 103.86, testing your judgment through a 14.6% drawdown. Walk through six monthly decision points with AI coach review. Simulated capital, educational only.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2010-10 to 2018-01 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.6% with a 25.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.6%
- Max run-up
- +25.5%
- Largest single-month move
- −4.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay opens on Bulgaria's national property index in the early 2010s, a market still absorbing the aftershocks of a deep real estate correction. The 30-month window from October 2010 to January 2018 captures a tentative recovery phase beginning around 2014, where modest optimism challenged entrenched bearish sentiment. For trainees, the central question is whether to position defensively or gradually embrace early recovery signals amid persistent uncertainty.
The index demonstrates cautious optimism, climbing 7.1% from 96.93 to 103.86. Yet this seemingly modest rally conceals significant volatility beneath the surface. The maximum drawdown of 14.6% reveals that the path upward was neither smooth nor forgiving, while the largest single-bar move of 4.1% underscores how quickly sentiment could shift within any given month. Six decision points, including two critical junctures, punctuate this recovery trajectory, demanding that participants repeatedly assess whether the recovery had legs or was merely a dead-cat bounce.
This scenario excels as a training ground for managing ambiguity. Trainees must practice the discipline of not calling tops prematurely, even when a 14.6% drawdown tests their conviction. Position sizing becomes critical when facing 4.1% intrabar shocks that can rattle even disciplined traders. The two critical decision points force participants to confront the psychological cost of staying engaged during a recovery that offers only a 7.1% total gain over 30 months. The lesson is clear: process and patience trump outcome prediction in uncertain markets.