China National (Real Estate Climate Index, 1998+) Historical Replay: 2007-12 to 2010-07
Replay 30 monthly bars from 2007-12 to 2010-07 tracking China's national property boom around the 2008 stimulus, with an 11.0% max drawdown. Work through six decision points day-by-day and receive an AI coach review of each simulated choice.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2007-12 to 2010-07 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.0% with a 11.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.0%
- Max run-up
- +11.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay takes us inside China's national property sentiment index during one of the most dramatic policy pivots in modern economic history. Between December 2007 and July 2010, a 30-bar monthly dataset captures a market caught between the tail end of a credit boom, the global financial crisis, and the massive 2008 stimulus program. Six decision points are embedded in the timeline, two of them marked as critical, asking participants to navigate extreme uncertainty with simulated capital at stake.
The numbers tell a story of resilience disguised as weakness. The index closed the period at 104.72, barely off the 106.45 opening level for a net decline of just -1.6%. Yet this tranquil headline figure conceals a turbulent interior: the maximum drawdown reached 11.0%, and the largest single monthly candle stretched 2.1%. A participant fixated on endpoint returns would miss the full volatility that traders actually faced.
This scenario strips away the clarity of hindsight to test real decision-making. Six decision points force participants to commit before knowing whether the stimulus will spark recovery or prove insufficient. The 11.0% peak-to-trough swing reveals how quickly sentiment can reverse, demanding disciplined risk management and emotional detachment from short-term noise. Success here requires trusting the process rather than chasing prediction.