US National (FHFA, 1975Q1+) Historical Replay: 2006-07 to 2013-10
Replay the 2006-07 to 2013-10 US national property downturn, a 19.0% drawdown captured across 30 monthly bars. Step into 6 decision points, face the 2 critical ones, and let the AI coach review your simulated judgment.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2006-07 to 2013-10 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.0% with a 6.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.0%
- Max run-up
- +6.5%
- Largest single-month move
- −3.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US national housing market from mid-2006 through late 2013 represents one of the most significant property downturns in modern financial history. This 30-month historical replay captures a market navigating the aftermath of the subprime crisis, with monthly data bars tracking price movements through a prolonged recovery phase. Participants face the challenge of understanding a market still processing systemic risk while attempting to identify sustainable bottom signals.
The replay opens at a price level of 375.06 and concludes at 328.17, representing a cumulative decline of -12.5%. The scenario's defining characteristic is its maximum drawdown of 19.0%, with individual monthly bars showing volatility up to 3.1%, reflecting the market's struggle to establish stable footing during this extended adjustment period. The two critical decision points punctuate this journey, demanding participants commit to positions when uncertainty feels overwhelming.
This replay teaches that managing risk through a drawn-out downturn requires more than technical analysis—it demands psychological resilience. Participants must learn to distinguish between temporary price fluctuations and genuine shifts in market direction, a skill honed only through deliberate practice in simulated environments. The lesson for decision training is clear: sustainable recovery requires both analytical discipline and the patience to wait for confirmation before acting.
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