US National (FHFA, 1975Q1+) Historical Replay: 1995-07 to 2002-10
Between July 1995 and October 2002, U.S. national property values climbed 45.5% across 30 monthly bars with zero drawdown. You replay each historic month, tackle six decision points, and receive an AI coach review on every simulated choice.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 1995-07 to 2002-10 · Property
Key facts
- Max run-up
- +45.5%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.5%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Between July 1995 and October 2002, US national property values moved steadily upward across a span of 30 monthly bars, representing one of the more sustained appreciation periods in recent housing history. Participants replaying this era enter a market defined by consistent growth with no pullback to test their resolve. The question for each decision point is not whether to survive a crisis, but how to navigate a relentless climb without second-guessing a position or overextending during quiet months.
The numbers tell a straightforward story: values rose 45.5%, moving from 189.75 to 276.08, with a maximum drawdown of 0.0% and a largest single-bar move of just 2.5%. This was not a period of dramatic spikes but rather of patient accumulation, month after month. For anyone accustomed to equity volatility, the absence of meaningful retracement might feel almost unsettling. Six decision points, two marked as critical, punctuate the replay, asking participants to demonstrate conviction in a direction that rarely offered obvious entry points.
This scenario strips away the drama of crashes and bubbles to focus on a harder skill: maintaining disciplined process in a forgiving environment. The psychology at play centers on the temptation to lighten positions during calm stretches or to assume the run cannot continue. Training here means practicing conviction calibration, learning that not every smooth trend demands intervention, and that position sizing decisions made without drawdown pressure reveal their own kind of character.
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