Merval Downtrend Replay (2021-02-17 to 2021-03-08)
Replay a real Argentine Merval correction across 30 daily bars with an 11.6% peak-to-trough drawdown, the largest single move reaching 3.7%. Step through each day, face seven decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 daily bars · 7 decision points · 2021-02 to 2021-03 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 43 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.6% and a 9.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.6%
- Max run-up
- +9.0%
- Duration
- 43 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.7%
- Bars
- 30 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 7
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Argentine Merval index faced a significant correction phase during February to March 2021, a period when emerging market equities were navigating post-pandemic recovery uncertainties, shifting global risk appetites, and domestic economic pressures. This replay covers 30 daily bars spanning from early February to mid-March 2021, placing participants in the position of managing positions through a volatile drawdown period. The decade context is the 2020s, a time when market participants needed to adapt to unprecedented monetary policy and accelerated digital transformation.
The Merval began this period near 49,687 points and concluded slightly higher at 49,917, representing a modest net gain of 0.5%. However, this headline figure conceals the turbulence within: the index experienced an 11.6% peak-to-trough drawdown during the period, with the largest single daily move reaching 3.7%. The flat closing mask belies the severity of the intermediate decline that tested both position management and emotional resolve.
Seven decision points punctuate this replay, three of which are critical junctures where directional conviction and risk management intersect. Participants must navigate the psychological tension between maintaining exposure during a drawdown and the temptation to exit prematurely. The scenario emphasizes disciplined position sizing, clear stop-loss protocols, and emotional regulation when facing unrealized losses. This period serves as a powerful reminder that headline returns often mask underlying volatility, and successful navigation requires systematic approaches rather than reactive decision-making.