Live Cattle Historical Replay: 2018-08 to 2018-11
Live cattle prices fell 13.0% across 66 daily bars ending 2018-11-23 as a crisis-era grains market tested every trader's nerves. Step through the replay day-by-day, tackle 12 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of each simulated call.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-08 to 2018-11 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 13.3% and a 11.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −13.3%
- Max run-up
- +11.4%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- +7.0%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Live cattle futures entered a turbulent stretch as the 2010s' emerging market crisis rippled through commodity channels. Between 2018-08-22 and 2018-11-23, traders navigating this 66-bar replay faced a market where grains-sector contagion threatened positions built on seasonal patterns. The scenario places you at the helm during a period when macro uncertainty clashed with agricultural fundamentals, demanding disciplined position management under mounting pressure.
The numbers tell a stark story: prices dropped from 530 to 461.25, a decline of -13.0% over the replay window. The max drawdown of 13.3% tested stop-loss discipline, while the largest single-bar move of 7.0% punished late entrants and rewarded those with pre-defined exit triggers. Across 12 decision points—four deemed critical—every entry and exit carried disproportionate consequence in a compressed timeframe.
This replay sharpens the skills that separate disciplined traders from impulse-driven participants. The extended drawdown forces reflection on position sizing; the violent single-bar swings test emotional regulation. When 4 critical moments arrive without warning, process becomes everything. Study how your simulated calls stack up against historical precedent, and let the AI coach identify whether your decisions reflect learned discipline or fortunate timing.