Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2014-11 to 2015-05
Replay a 122-day soybean meal collapse that saw prices fall 22.1% from 387.1 to 301.7. Step through each trading day, tackle 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2014-11 to 2015-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 26.7% and a 11.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −26.7%
- Max run-up
- +11.1%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.7%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2014, soybean meal—a key protein input for livestock feed—faced mounting pressure as global agricultural markets navigated shifting supply dynamics. The replay begins on November 17, 2014, and runs through May 13, 2015, a 122-trading-day window that captured a meaningful structural decline in this grains complex. Participants entering this scenario must understand the macro forces at play: currency movements, seasonal planting cycles, and evolving demand from China, one of the world's largest importers.
The numbers tell a stark story. Prices fell from 387.1 to 301.7, representing a decline of 22.1%. The journey was not smooth—maximum drawdown reached 26.7%, meaning participants who mistimed entries faced losses well beyond the headline figure. A single particularly volatile session delivered a 6.7% move, illustrating how quickly conditions can deteriorate. Across the 122-day period, traders confronted 21 decision points, with 7 deemed critical to outcomes.
This replay is a stress test for process and psychology. It demands disciplined risk management when facing a sustained downtrend, as the gap between headline decline and actual drawdown reveals how easily position sizing errors compound losses. The sharp single-day moves punish emotional reactions and reward systematic responses to shifting signals. Navigating 21 decision points—7 at critical junctures—builds the muscle memory needed to act decisively yet rationally when market conditions deteriorate without warning.