Wheat Historical Replay: 2013-11 to 2014-05
Replay 122 daily bars of wheat from November 2013 to May 2014, navigating an 8.6% climb alongside a sharp 15.8% drawdown. Step through 21 decision points, including 7 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated trades.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2013-11 to 2014-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 179 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 15.8% and a 32.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −15.8%
- Max run-up
- +32.7%
- Duration
- 179 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.6%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Wheat futures traded in a quiet corner of commodity markets through the winter of 2013, but beneath the surface calm lay the makings of an instructive lesson in volatility. The period from November 15, 2013 to May 13, 2014 offered traders a contained window to test their mettle: 122 daily bars, 21 decision points, and 7 critical junctures that would separate disciplined execution from reactive guessing.
What unfolded was an 8.6% climb from 644.5 to 700, yet the journey was far from smooth. The market carved through a maximum drawdown of 15.8%, and single sessions could swing as violently as 4.6%. These were not edge cases but recurring features of the tape, demanding that participants constantly reassess their risk posture rather than anchor to initial positions. The closing price told only part of the story.
This replay trains participants to hold process above outcome. Navigating a 15.8% equity trough while prices meandered requires emotional discipline and sizing awareness that pure directional calls cannot provide. The 7 critical decision points scattered across 122 bars become rehearsal moments for real-world pressure: when to hold, when to adjust, and when the data is simply asking you to endure. Success here is measured not by reaching 700, but by maintaining coherent decision-making through the entire drawdown cycle.
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