Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2013-06 to 2013-09
Replay 72 days of rough rice from June to September 2013, watching the close slide from 16.5 to 15.48. Step through 13 decision points, including 5 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
72 daily bars · 13 decision points · 2013-06 to 2013-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 103 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 9.0% and a 10.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −9.0%
- Max run-up
- +10.6%
- Duration
- 103 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.8%
- Bars
- 72 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 13
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2013, rough rice futures stood at a crossroads. The commodity market faced uncertainty as policy discussions and macroeconomic signals created volatility across grains. This replay covers 72 daily bars from June 14 to September 25, 2013, placing you in the mindset of traders navigating a declining trend. The decade of the 2010s was marked by evolving agricultural policies and shifting supply dynamics, making rice a particularly sensitive barometer of broader market sentiment.
The numbers tell a story of persistent pressure. From an opening reference of 16.5, rough rice closed at 15.48, a decline of 6.2% over the period. The journey was far from smooth—the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 9.0% and endured its largest single-bar move of 5.8%, illustrating how sharp reversals can test even patient positioning. Throughout these 72 trading days, you will confront 13 decision points, with 5 designated as critical moments where directional conviction and risk management were most severely evaluated.
This scenario is a textbook case study in managing losses and maintaining discipline during a sustained downturn. The 9.0% maximum drawdown demonstrates the importance of sizing positions appropriately before volatility strikes. The 5.8% single-bar shock reminds us that even well-reasoned trades can face sudden adverse moves, making stop-loss discipline essential. The 5 critical decision points strip away the comfort of gradual adjustment, forcing you to act with conviction when trends accelerate. The core lesson: survival in trending markets requires not just correct direction, but also the psychological resilience to hold through drawdowns and the process discipline to exit when evidence shifts.
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