Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2010-11 to 2011-05
Rough rice swung 6.0% in a single session across 124 daily bars from 2010-11-16 to 2011-05-13, testing any trader's composure. Replay the grain shock day by day, face 21 decision points, and get an AI coach review of each call, simulated capital only.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2010-11 to 2011-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 22.1% and a 24.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −22.1%
- Max run-up
- +24.4%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.0%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice futures, a staple agricultural contract, became the focus of intense volatility during late 2010 and spring 2011. The 124 daily bars spanning 2010-11-16 to 2011-05-13 captured a period when North African political upheaval disrupted global food markets. For traders, this era posed fundamental questions about risk management under geopolitical uncertainty.
The market delivered a 4.0% net gain from 13.27 to 13.8 over the period, but this modest headline figure concealed violent internal swings. A max drawdown of 22.1% tested endurance, while a largest single-bar move of 6.0% demonstrated how quickly sentiment could shift. These extremes transformed a supposedly directional commodity play into a psychological battlefield.
With 21 decision points including 7 critical junctures, the replay forces participants to confront timing, position sizing, and emotional control in real conditions. The scenario teaches that process matters more than outcome in the moment of decision. Handling a 22.1% drawdown without abandoning a thesis, recognizing when the market has truly shifted after a 6.0% spike, and distinguishing good decisions from good results are the lasting skills this historical episode cultivates.