Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2009-02 to 2009-05
Replay the soybean meal rally that climbed 20.1% between February and May 2009, with a 14.2% drawdown testing every decision. Step through 70 daily bars, face 13 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback on your simulated trades.
70 daily bars · 13 decision points · 2009-02 to 2009-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 99 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.2% and a 42.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.2%
- Max run-up
- +42.5%
- Duration
- 99 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.1%
- Bars
- 70 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 13
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2009, commodity markets were navigating extraordinary uncertainty as the global financial crisis began to ease. Soybean meal futures, a key input for animal feed and a proxy for agricultural sector health, faced a complex landscape of shifting demand signals and macroeconomic crosscurrents. This historical replay covers 70 trading days from February 10 to May 20, 2009, placing traders in the position of those who had to make critical decisions amid evolving market conditions without knowing how the period would ultimately resolve.
Over the course of the replay, soybean meal prices climbed steadily from 312.1 to 374.8, a gain of 20.1%. The journey was anything but smooth: a max drawdown of 14.2% tested every position holder's conviction, while a largest single-bar move of 6.1% demonstrated the kind of sharp intraday volatility that can quickly erode confidence. Participants faced 13 decision points across the period, with 5 critical junctures demanding particularly careful analysis and risk calibration.
This scenario strips trading down to its core challenges: maintaining conviction during a 14.2% pullback in an otherwise trending market, managing position size in the face of 6.1% single-day swings, and making systematic decisions rather than reactive ones across 13 separate choice points. The educational value lies not in predicting outcomes but in experiencing the pressure of real-time judgment calls, building the psychological resilience and disciplined process that separate informed decision-making from guesswork.
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